News and insights

In our first issue of Insurance Investment Management Insights, our experts offer their insights on the crucial topics which are likely to impact insurance companies.

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Invesco’s Global Market Strategy Office analyses a range of Brexit scenarios: No-Deal risk is high and rising; early elections are possible but may not prevent a no-deal Brexit on 31 October and the UK itself may eventually split.

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Invesco’s Future of Europe series aims to address some of the most pressing questions surrounding the euro, the eurozone (EZ) and the European Union (EU), whilst also examining Europe’s troubled past, uncertain present and possible future. The second paper in the series, The Survivability of the Euro, comprises three parts, of which Reform, Relevance and Robustness is the first. In this paper we analyse the vital issue of imbalances between member states and explore the conflicts that they generate.

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With expectations of a lower-return environment in the future, we explore how investors can position their portfolios using factors in an attempt to enhance performance.

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In our latest Investment Stewardship & Proxy Voting Annual Report, we highlight our commitment to responsible investing and how we seek to generate both financial and sustainable value for our clients.

Read more about our responsible investing approach

In our long experience as global investors, we understand investing to be the art and science of making decisions about the trade-offs between the opportunity for higher returns and the risk of pursuing those returns. Much of that information is not readily available to investors and sometimes those trade-offs are not always evident. To see them, we need the right information.

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Five years ago, researchers at Invesco Investment Solutions debuted a robust methodology for developing capital market assumptions based on 10-year investment horizons.

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In the complex insurance regulatory environment, Elizabeth Gillam, Head of EU Government Relations and Public Policy at Invesco, based in Bruxelles, brings her lights on the crucial topics which actually impact insurance companies.

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We look at how an ‘Equity Enhanced Fixed Income' approach could offer insurers an attractive return profile, while providing equity risk management capabilities. And importantly, it can be delivered in a capital efficient way.

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Our second global fixed income study provides insights on the views, opinions and experiences of 145 fixed income specialists, across pension funds (both defined benefit and defined contribution), sovereign wealth funds, insurers and wholesale investors including private banks, diversified fund managers, multi-managers, and model builders.

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Invesco Fixed Income expects China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to improve both regional connectivity and foster infrastructure development and economic growth, creating potential opportunities for bond investors. We explore the sectors that are likely to benefit the most from an increase in infrastructure spending and regional trade.

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Global market are facing several issues, including the fast-approaching deadlines for another US government shutdown, a US-China trade deal, and Brexit.

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Is the recent sell-off in BBB-rated bonds a sign of worse things to come, or has the market over-reacted? Are there stabilizing trends on the horizon?

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Through advisory consultation, custom solutions and strategic partnerships, Invesco Global Solutions seek to harness the right combination of strategies across Invesco’s full spectrum of active, passive, factor and alternative investments to solve client needs.

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After the dramatic defeat of the UK Prime Minister’s EU withdrawal plan, we see five scenarios for the future EU-UK relationship.

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Heading into an uncertain 2019, diversification must be top-of-mind.

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A look at the technologies we believe will define 2019

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A decade on from the global financial crisis, we’re seeing a mixed bag of growth. What does Nick Mustoe think looking further ahead?

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Could the prolonged global expansion continue? Clive Emery believes so, providing fiscal and monetary policies remain supportive.

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2019 promises to be a challenging environment, but Ian Hargreaves and William Lam think emerging markets will be able to withstand the pressures.

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Increased volatility will require a more balanced portfolio. Read Simon Laing’s outlook for US equities

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Divergence, disruption and debt overhang – three key themes to watch in 2019. Read Kristina Hooper and Arnab Das' outlook.

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Stuart Edwards, Thomas Moore, Michael Matthews and Julien Eberhardt of the Henley Fixed Interest team provide their 2019 investment outlook.

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European headlines are dominated by negative sentiment, but Jeff Taylor believes it’s important to focus on the fundamentals.

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Rob Waldner of the Invesco Fixed Income team gauges the ripple effects of the softening of economic growth.

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With new risks on the horizon for bonds and equities, can exchange-traded fund strategies help investment portfolios?

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The outlook for real estate fundamentals is positive, but risks remain. Read more from Invesco Real Estate.

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Following a year of turmoil, John Greenwood, Invesco's Chief Economist, shares his thoughts for the global economy in 2019.

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The fourth industrial revolution has the potential to transform economic and financial activity at global, national, firm and household levels. We discuss some of the key transitional challenges that are unfolding via digitisation, automation and artificial intelligence.

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Invesco Global Market Strategist Kristina Hooper examines what this may mean for investors.

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European investors continue to face low yields in the investment grade universe and are looking for additional sources of return and diversification. A rising number of European insurers consider infrastructure debt to be an attractive option. But the investment opportunities in Europe are rare.

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A rate hike from the US Federal Reserve in September seems to be on the cards, but there is also continued concern about the impact of trade wars on the US economy.

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From the crisis in Turkey to upcoming remarks by the Federal Reserve Chair, there are no shortage of issues for investors to watch this week.

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Activity in currency markets has more than tripled in the last two decades. Last week brought currency pressure in the UK, China, Iran and — most dramatically — Turkey. And the situation could get worse before it gets better.

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In our latest paper we discuss how a factor lens approach may help to attribute previously unexplained returns - and so link performance directly to the factor-driven investment process.

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In recent weeks, the prospect of a global trade war has emerged more clearly and presents major consequences for global markets. While the implications are difficult to assess, a tightening of financial conditions could be strong enough to significantly curtail US growth.

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Large-scale asset purchases by major central banks has added to the abundance of liquidity in markets, however the tide is now turning in the opposite direction. As balance sheet normalization accelerates, it seems likely that liquidity issues could accelerate too.

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In the event that the Trump administration moves forward with tariffs on imported automobiles, retaliatory tariffs might mean the US may end up being the bigger loser in a trade war over the longer term.

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In the latest edition of Risk & Reward we compare factor investing to traditional active and passive approaches and look to clarify where and how factor investing fits into the investment landscape.

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Our sixth Invesco Global Sovereign Asset Management Study seeks to provide unique insights into the investment objectives and behaviours of sovereign investors during a challenging investment environment.

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By imposing tariffs on close allies — with the rationale of alleviating national security concerns — the US runs the risk of alienating those allies.

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With the US applying aluminum and steel tariffs to Canada, Mexico and the European Union, and exploring tariffs of up to 25% on imported cars, free trade is being threatened.

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In the latest Risk & Reward magazine we discuss bitcoins and other cryptocurrencies, look at what makes blockchain technology so interesting and why a wide variety of industries are so fascinated by the long-term potential of cryptotokens.

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Exploring the potential for populism, protectionism and pressure on debtors: Last week brought renewed focus to three areas of concern: populism, protectionism and pressure on debtors. It appears that we may be moving closer to certain outcomes that could be of concern to markets.

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As inflation fears effect the markets we share our outlook for global bond markets.

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Our first Invesco Global Fixed Income Study explores the key themes within this topical asset class through the views, opinions and experiences of 79 leading fixed income specialists.

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Inside the latest issue of Risk & Reward magazine we look at how digital lenders are disrupting the status quo and a global perspective on crowdfunding, and share insights and research covering a range of themes.

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The way market participants are investing is changing rapidly for many – on one side we see an increasing need for reduced costs, and on the other, value added is becoming ever more important.

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In a yield-starved, low-growth, low inflation world, emerging markets with higher real growth, inflation and the associated underlying economic vigour may offer an attractive proposition for developed market investors.

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Since 2013, we’ve conducted over 320 interviews with sovereign investors around the world. Our 5-year anniversary review features key insights and considers what the future may hold.

Read the sovereign investor 5-year review

Today, many institutional investors are adding hotel real estate to their portfolios to achieve diversification, to help boost income in their multi-asset portfolios and for liability matching requirements given the longer dated income.

Read our paper why

While broad adoption of factor investing is still well in the future, a multi-asset multi-factor strategy permits full utilisation of all potential benefits of factor investing, and therefore represents a natural evolution.

Read the latest issue of Risk & Reward magazine

Many investment approaches used for portfolio construction are based on efficient frontiers, notions of stable correlations and normal distribution assumptions. But how will they cope once chaos enters the market?

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While factor investing is quite established in equities, there is less academic research and a much shorter track record when it comes to fixed income portfolios. We believe credit offers the best place to start factor investing.

Read the whitepaper on credit factors

Asset class correlations have risen significantly since the global financial crisis, making traditional portfolio diversification strategies challenging. We discuss how three key macro factors can aid asset allocation.

Read more about our “macro factor” approach

With the US Federal Reserve gradually normalising interest rates, the US economy appears to be in good shape. Can President Trump take any of the credit?

Read John's outlook in full

The balance sheet of the US Federal Reserve has expanded strongly in recent times due to the impact of quantitative easing. At some point, this process will need to be reversed. How will the US central bank go about shrinking its balance sheet and will it be disruptive to financial markets?

Read John's outlook in full

Disruptive technologies and trends are radically reshaping the investing landscape daily across sectors, asset classes and geographies. This paper examines the advent of driverless cars.

Learn about driverless cars and their potential implications

The European equity team in Henley has been overweight the energy sector since late 2013. With renewed commodity weakness of late, why do the team continue to add to positions?

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While government bonds have historically been considered effective diversifiers against growth, Invesco Fixed Income believes it makes sense to consider “quality currencies” as an alternative diversifier.

Learn about quality currencies in action

Our fifth Invesco Global Sovereign Asset Management Study seeks to provide unique insights into the investment objectives and behaviours of sovereign investors during a challenging investment environment.

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As the trend toward global investing grows, managing foreign exchange risk takes on increasing importance. We provide a simple currency management roadmap to guide the decision making process.

Learn about our currency management roadmap